Reserved blockspace with a zero penalty is a promise, not a guarantee.预订的区块空间,只要违约不用付代价,就只是承诺,不是保证。而这正是 ETHGas 眼下在以太坊上向华尔街兜售的东西。

That is what ETHGas is now selling Wall Street on Ethereum.
The pitch, reported by CoinDesk on November 3, is clean: banks reserve space in upcoming Ethereum blocks, pick which validators process them, screen counterparties for sanctions, and get a validator-signed preconfirmation in about 50 milliseconds, all while settling on the public chain. ether.fi has committed roughly $3 billion of ether over three years; about $800 million in blockspace is already spoken for. It sounds like guaranteed inclusion.
Then read what the founder said. Kevin Lepsoe: the compensation amount is set to 0. A validator that signs your preconfirmation and then drops it pays nothing. So you are not buying a guarantee. You are buying a signed promise, backed by reputation, and you keep the entire downside when it breaks.
That matters most exactly when it is supposed to help. In a calm block, promises hold and no one notices the missing penalty. In the congested, volatile block you reserved space for, a validator has the strongest reason to renege and the smallest cost for doing it. Certainty is being priced; the non-delivery risk is handed to the buyer.
This breaks if ETHGas puts a real, enforceable penalty on a missed preconfirmation and it holds through a congested block. Until that number stops being zero, institutional blockspace is priority you pay for but cannot enforce.
Research, not investment advice.
据 CoinDesk 11 月 3 日报道,它的卖点很干净:银行预订以太坊未来区块里的空间,自己挑哪些验证者来打包,对交易对手做制裁合规筛查,并在大约 50 毫秒内拿到验证者签名的预确认,而且全程仍在公链上结算。ether.fi 已承诺三年内投入约 30 亿美元的以太币,约 8 亿美元的区块空间已被预订。听上去就像'保证被打包'。
但再看创始人怎么说。Kevin Lepsoe:违约赔付金额被设成了 0。一个验证者给你签了预确认、转头又不认,它一分钱都不用赔。所以你买到的不是保证,你买到的是一张靠声誉背书的签名承诺,一旦它失约,全部损失都由你自己扛。
而这恰恰在最该管用的时候最靠不住。平时区块不挤,承诺都兑现,没人注意到缺了违约金这一环。可到了你专门为它预订空间的那个拥堵、剧烈波动的区块里,验证者最有动机反悔,反悔的代价又最小。被定价的是'确定性',而'没被打包'的风险被转嫁给了买方。
什么会打破这个判断:ETHGas 为错失的预确认设立一个真实、可强制执行的违约金,并且在一个拥堵区块里仍如约兑现。只要这个数还没离开零,所谓机构级区块空间,就是你花钱买来、却无法强制兑现的优先权。
研究,不构成投资建议。
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